Business Plan Evolution

Beinhocker Ch.14 -- Business Plans as the DNA of the Economy

Wealth is Fit Order

Beinhocker argues that wealth is not money -- it is fit order. Wealth creation requires transformations that are (1) irreversible, (2) entropy-reducing, and (3) fitness-enhancing. Business Plans are the "DNA" of the economy -- they encode strategies for creating fit order by combining three elements: Physical Technology (how to make things), Social Technology (how to organize people), and Strategy (which market to serve). All three must work together -- fitness is multiplicative. A brilliant product with bad organization fails. A well-run company making the wrong thing also fails.

The Three G-R Conditions

For wealth to be created, business plans must satisfy the Generalized-Replication conditions: they must encode Physical Technologies that transform matter/energy irreversibly, Social Technologies that coordinate humans to reduce entropy (create order), and Strategies that ensure the resulting products/services are fit for human purposes. The economy evolves by differentially selecting among competing business plans -- creative destruction is the mechanism.

Total Wealth (Fit Order)

Average Fitness by Component

Physical Tech
Social Tech
Strategy
Total (mean)

Population Diversity

Market Share Inequality (Gini)

Creative Destruction Events

Best vs Mean Fitness

Best
Mean
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